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Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 13, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Red Bull Arena
YB

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Young Boys

Sesko (51'), Forsberg (56')
Poulsen (70'), Lenz (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Colley (53')
Garcia (33'), Colley (81'), Monteiro (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Young Boys 3-0 St Gallen
Saturday, December 9 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Young Boys

Both teams are merely playing for pride in this fixture, but they will be keen to end the group stage on a high, with Young Boys seeking revenge following their loss to Leipzig in the reverse fixture. Seven of Leipzig's last eight home wins in the Champions League have seen both teams score, and we believe that the German hosts will outscore their opponents once again, even if Rose decides to make several changes to his lineup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 65.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Young Boys had a probability of 16.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Young Boys win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawYoung Boys
65.97% (-0.619 -0.62) 17.8% (0.297 0.3) 16.23% (0.325 0.33)
Both teams to score 62.83% (-0.40799999999999 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.19% (-0.831 -0.83)29.81% (0.835 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.04% (-1.014 -1.01)50.96% (1.016 1.02)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.51% (-0.349 -0.35)8.49% (0.3519 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.57% (-0.87299999999999 -0.87)29.43% (0.876 0.88)
Young Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66% (-0.181 -0.18)31.34% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3% (-0.211 -0.21)67.7% (0.214 0.21)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 65.97%
    Young Boys 16.23%
    Draw 17.8%
RB LeipzigDrawYoung Boys
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 7.72% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.56% (0.202 0.2)
4-1 @ 4.76% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 4.48% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.1% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.76% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-1 @ 2.35% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-0 @ 2.02% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.36% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-3 @ 1.07% (-0.038 -0.04)
6-1 @ 0.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 65.97%
1-1 @ 7.61% (0.196 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.66% (0.125 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 17.8%
1-2 @ 4.42% (0.092 0.09)
0-1 @ 3.09% (0.13 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.79% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.71% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 16.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dortmund 2-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, December 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Man City 3-2 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Sunday, November 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Red Star 1-2 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Young Boys 3-0 St Gallen
Saturday, December 9 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Young Boys 1-0 SLO
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Young Boys 1-1 Servette
Sunday, December 3 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Young Boys 2-0 Red Star
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: FC Zurich 3-1 Young Boys
Saturday, November 25 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Young Boys 6-1 Luzern
Saturday, November 11 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League


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