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League One | Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
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Reading
5 - 1
Carlisle

Lavelle (26' og.), Knibbs (32', 39'), Wing (78'), Azeez (83')
Dorsett (53')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Plange (29')
Armer (33')
Coverage of the League One clash between Reading and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 1-2 Reading
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawCarlisle United
43.42% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 25.3% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 31.28% (0.133 0.13)
Both teams to score 55.33% (0.218 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8% (0.255 0.26)48.2% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.64% (0.232 0.23)70.36% (-0.233 -0.23)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.84% (0.069999999999993 0.07)22.16% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.44% (0.103 0.1)55.56% (-0.102 -0.1)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (0.218 0.22)28.92% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.21% (0.267 0.27)64.8% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Reading 43.42%
    Carlisle United 31.29%
    Draw 25.3%
ReadingDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.66% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 43.42%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.29%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Wycombe 1-2 Reading
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 5-2 Arsenal U21s
Tuesday, November 14 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Reading
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 3-2 MK Dons
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Reading 2-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Harrogate
Tuesday, November 14 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One


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