Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Carlisle United |
43.42% ( -0.09) | 25.3% ( -0.05) | 31.28% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 55.33% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.8% ( 0.26) | 48.2% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.64% ( 0.23) | 70.36% ( -0.23) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.84% ( 0.07) | 22.16% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.44% ( 0.1) | 55.56% ( -0.1) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.08% ( 0.22) | 28.92% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.21% ( 0.27) | 64.8% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.42% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.29% |
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