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La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 27, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
LP

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Las Palmas

Diaz (45+3'), Joselu (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Coco (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Las Palmas 1-0 Granada
Sunday, September 24 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 2-0 Las Palmas

Boasting the joint-best defensive record in the division, Las Palmas will not make life easy for Real Madrid, but Ancelotti's men look set to return to winning ways with a hard-fought victory on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 19.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real MadridDrawLas Palmas
57.29% (1.129 1.13) 22.86% (-0.177 -0.18) 19.85% (-0.953 -0.95)
Both teams to score 51.92% (-0.919 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.66% (-0.48800000000001 -0.49)47.34% (0.487 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.44% (-0.453 -0.45)69.56% (0.452 0.45)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.73% (0.218 0.22)16.27% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.18% (0.396 0.4)45.82% (-0.397 -0.4)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.01% (-1.263 -1.26)37.99% (1.262 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.24% (-1.244 -1.24)74.76% (1.243 1.24)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 57.28%
    Las Palmas 19.85%
    Draw 22.86%
Real MadridDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 10.18% (0.343 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.17% (0.257 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.8% (0.136 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.71% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.056 0.06)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 57.28%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 19.85%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, September 24 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Union Berlin
Wednesday, September 20 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, September 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Getafe
Saturday, September 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Real Madrid
Friday, August 25 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 1-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, August 19 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-0 Granada
Sunday, September 24 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, September 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 1-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, September 3 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-0 Real Sociedad
Friday, August 25 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Las Palmas
Friday, August 18 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Mallorca
Saturday, August 12 at 6.30pm in La Liga


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