SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Salt Lake in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Salt Lake.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
59.77% ( 0.44) | 20.35% ( -0.08) | 19.88% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 60.62% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.12% ( -0.15) | 35.88% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.03% ( -0.17) | 57.96% ( 0.16) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.25% ( 0.07) | 11.74% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.1% ( 0.15) | 36.89% ( -0.16) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.68% ( -0.43) | 31.31% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.32% ( -0.5) | 67.67% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.53% Total : 59.77% | 1-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.35% | 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.61% Total : 19.88% |
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