Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
30.27% ( -2.27)	23.71% ( -0.53)	46.02% ( 2.8)

Both teams to score 60.28% (

0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.52% (

1.47)

41.47% (

-1.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.12% (

1.47)

63.87% (

-1.47)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76% (

-0.69)

26.24% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.65% (

-0.94)

61.34% (

0.94)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73% (

1.78)

18.27% (

-1.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.67% (

2.93)

49.32% (

-2.93)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 30.27%

Paris Saint-Germain 46.02%

Draw 23.7%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.37) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.57) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.26) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 30.27%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.33) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.7%	1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.42) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.38) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.29) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.24) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.6% Total : 46.02%