SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
30.27% ( -2.27) | 23.71% ( -0.53) | 46.02% ( 2.8) |
| Both teams to score 60.28% ( 0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.52% ( 1.47) | 41.47% ( -1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.12% ( 1.47) | 63.87% ( -1.47) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% ( -0.69) | 26.24% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.65% ( -0.94) | 61.34% ( 0.94) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( 1.78) | 18.27% ( -1.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.67% ( 2.93) | 49.32% ( -2.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.37) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.57)2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.48)3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.33% Total : 30.27% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.42)0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.38)2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.29)0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.24)2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.6% Total : 46.02% |
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