SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Almeria |
48.55% ( -0.91) | 25.48% ( -0.11) | 25.96% ( 1.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.24% ( 1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.09% ( 1.21) | 51.9% ( -1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.34% ( 1.04) | 73.65% ( -1.04) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% ( 0.1) | 21.39% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.62% ( 0.16) | 54.38% ( -0.16) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% ( 1.54) | 34.81% ( -1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.45% ( 1.59) | 71.54% ( -1.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.53) 2-1 @ 9.34% 2-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.38)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.4% Total : 48.55% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.12% Total : 25.96% |
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