Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 45.8%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 25.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
