Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 1-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
