SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 47.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 24.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Burgos |
47.95% ( -0.62) | 27.86% ( 0.13) | 24.19% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 43.15% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.39% ( -0.08) | 61.61% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.55% ( -0.06) | 81.45% ( 0.06) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% ( -0.34) | 25.87% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.15% ( -0.46) | 60.85% ( 0.46) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.21% ( 0.43) | 41.78% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.75% ( 0.37) | 78.25% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 14.61% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.16)2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.98% Total : 47.94% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.17% Total : 24.19% |
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