SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New York Red Bulls.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Orlando City |
55.34% ( -0.03) | 23.33% ( -0.31) | 21.33% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 52.68% ( 1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.56% ( 1.72) | 47.44% ( -1.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.34% ( 1.57) | 69.66% ( -1.56) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.01% ( 0.62) | 16.99% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.89% ( 1.07) | 47.11% ( -1.07) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.46% ( 1.32) | 36.54% ( -1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.68% ( 1.31) | 73.33% ( -1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( -0.57) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.05% Total : 55.34% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.45)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.33% | 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.33% |
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