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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Aug 28, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
5 - 1
Barracas Central

Sepulveda (37' og.), de la Cruz (48'), Solari (80', 90'), Rondon (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sepulveda (24')
Villar (32')
Insua (69')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Barracas Central.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Barracas Central
Sunday, August 20 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 79.16%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 6.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.75%) and 1-0 (11.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawBarracas Central
79.16% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 14.06% (0.013 0.01) 6.78% (0.028 0.03)
Both teams to score 41.63% (0.12 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.47% (0.062000000000005 0.06)39.53% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.13% (0.064 0.06)61.87% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.99% (0.0040000000000049 0)8.01% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.78% (0.012 0.01)28.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.26% (0.128 0.13)54.74% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.27% (0.076000000000001 0.08)87.73% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 79.14%
    Barracas Central 6.78%
    Draw 14.06%
River PlateDrawBarracas Central
2-0 @ 13.97% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 11.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 11.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 7.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.09% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.011 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 79.14%
1-1 @ 6.67% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.54% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 14.06%
0-1 @ 2.64% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-2 @ 2.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 6.78%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 3-2 River Plate
Monday, August 21 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Internacional 3-1 River Plate (9-8 pen.)
Wednesday, August 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Internacional
Wednesday, August 2 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Racing
Saturday, July 29 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 3-3 River Plate
Monday, July 24 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 3-3 River Plate
Monday, July 24 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Barracas Central
Sunday, August 20 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 2-0 Barracas Central
Sunday, July 30 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 0-0 Arsenal
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 0-1 Barracas Central
Monday, July 17 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Monday, July 10 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 0-2 Barracas Central
Friday, July 7 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division


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