SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 17.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Boca Juniors |
60.51% ( -0.05) | 22.22% ( 0.01) | 17.27% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.32% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.54% ( 0.02) | 48.46% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.41% ( 0.02) | 70.6% ( -0.02) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.43% ( -0.01) | 15.58% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.46% ( -0.02) | 44.54% ( 0.02) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.42% ( 0.06) | 41.58% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.93% ( 0.05) | 78.07% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.04% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 60.5% | 1-1 @ 10.56% 0-0 @ 6.48% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.21% | 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 17.27% |
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