SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 64.86%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 14.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Lanus |
64.86% ( -0.16) | 21.04% ( 0.09) | 14.09% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 45.87% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.69% ( -0.19) | 49.31% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.63% ( -0.17) | 71.36% ( 0.17) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.54% ( -0.11) | 14.46% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.57% ( -0.22) | 42.42% ( 0.22) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.62% ( -0) | 46.37% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.99% ( 0) | 82.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 12.53% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 64.84% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0)Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.04% | 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.2% Total : 14.09% |
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