Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.