SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Atalanta BC |
28.47% ( -1.24) | 25.08% ( -0.34) | 46.44% ( 1.58) |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.37% ( 0.77) | 48.62% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.26% ( 0.7) | 70.74% ( -0.7) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.9% ( -0.5) | 31.1% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.57% ( -0.59) | 67.43% ( 0.59) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( 1.03) | 20.97% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.28% ( 1.58) | 53.72% ( -1.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.47% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.14)0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.58% Total : 46.44% |
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