SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 65.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Parma had a probability of 14.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Parma |
65.95% ( 0.05) | 19.42% ( -0) | 14.62% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.46% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.79% ( -0.08) | 41.21% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.39% ( -0.08) | 63.6% ( 0.08) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.34% ( -0.01) | 11.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.28% ( -0.02) | 36.72% ( 0.02) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.38% ( -0.11) | 40.61% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.79% ( -0.1) | 77.21% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Parma |
| 2-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.06% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 3.77% Total : 65.94% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.43% | 0-1 @ 4.27% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.92% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 14.62% |
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