SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 50.99%. A win for Torino had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Torino |
50.99% ( -0.75) | 24.37% ( 0.05) | 24.64% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.61% ( 0.42) | 48.39% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.47% ( 0.38) | 70.53% ( -0.38) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.02% ( -0.13) | 18.98% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.48% ( -0.22) | 50.52% ( 0.22) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.98% ( 0.84) | 34.02% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.3% ( 0.89) | 70.7% ( -0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Torino |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 50.99% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.23% Total : 24.64% |
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