J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jun 30, 2024 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
We said: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol
Neither team has been showcasing much confidence this season, and that is something that could be reflected in the match itself on Sunday.
Seeing them share the points would not be a surprise, especially considering how many times Kashiwa Reysol have drawn away from home this season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.
| Result |
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
31.45% ( 0.27) | 25.69% ( 0.1) | 42.86% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 54.11% ( -0.22) |
| 50.17% ( -0.33) | 49.82% ( 0.33) |
| 28.18% ( -0.29) | 71.82% ( 0.3) |
| 70.38% ( 0.01) | 29.62% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.34% ( 0.02) | 65.66% ( -0.01) |
| 76.87% ( -0.32) | 23.12% ( 0.32) |
