SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Atlanta United |
37.67% ( -3.64) | 24.82% ( 0.66) | 37.5% ( 2.98) |
| Both teams to score 58.42% ( -2.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.18% ( -2.79) | 44.82% ( 2.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( -2.74) | 67.18% ( 2.75) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( -3.01) | 23.53% ( 3.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.43% ( -4.56) | 57.57% ( 4.56) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% ( 0.34) | 23.61% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.3% ( 0.49) | 57.7% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.42) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.6)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.4)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.45)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.38)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.27)Other @ 2.11% Total : 37.67% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.24)0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.64)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.42) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 1)0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.77)1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.39)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.51% |
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