SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Portland Timbers |
44.19% ( -0.01) | 24.07% ( 0) | 31.73% |
| Both teams to score 59.77% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.51% ( -0.02) | 42.48% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.11% ( -0.01) | 64.88% ( 0.01) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% ( -0.01) | 19.43% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.73% ( -0.02) | 51.26% ( 0.01) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( -0.01) | 25.81% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.23% ( -0.01) | 60.76% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 44.19% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.73% |
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