Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | New York City FC |
39.21% (![]() | 26.81% (![]() | 33.97% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.27% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.18% (![]() | 53.81% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.71% (![]() | 75.28% (![]() |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.18% (![]() | 26.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.89% (![]() | 62.1% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.05% (![]() | 29.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.95% (![]() | 66.05% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
St Louis City | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 10.56% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.39% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.13% Total : 39.2% | 1-1 @ 12.74% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.03% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 9.68% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.68% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.84% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.97% |
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