SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 21.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Orlando City |
55.09% ( -0.01) | 23.88% ( 0.01) | 21.03% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 50.53% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.92% ( -0.04) | 50.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.95% ( -0.04) | 72.05% ( 0.04) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.95% ( -0.02) | 18.05% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.05% ( -0.04) | 48.95% ( 0.03) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.66% ( -0.02) | 38.34% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.91% ( -0.02) | 75.09% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 55.08% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.52% Total : 21.03% |
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