SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Morecambe |
45.2% ( 1.44) | 22.9% ( -0.07) | 31.9% ( -1.37) |
| Both teams to score 64.15% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.22% ( -0.23) | 36.77% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.06% ( -0.25) | 58.94% ( 0.25) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.25% ( 0.47) | 16.74% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.33% ( 0.83) | 46.67% ( -0.84) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.05% ( -0.88) | 22.95% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.27% ( -1.31) | 56.73% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Morecambe |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.12)Other @ 4.37% Total : 45.2% | 1-1 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.89% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.14% Total : 31.9% |
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