Sutton has been stringing some good results together lately, and they are in greater need of points in the fight for survival.
However, the hosts have been strong recently as well, and with Salford boasting the home advantage here they could just get over the line and take all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.13) 
