SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Parma had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Parma |
44.19% ( 0.65) | 25.12% ( -0.62) | 30.69% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.64% ( 2.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.32% ( 2.62) | 47.67% ( -2.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.13% ( 2.37) | 69.87% ( -2.37) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.42% ( 1.42) | 21.58% ( -1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.33% ( 2.13) | 54.67% ( -2.13) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.95% ( 1.3) | 29.05% ( -1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.04% ( 1.57) | 64.96% ( -1.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.64) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.46% Total : 44.19% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.71)2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.57) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.69% |
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