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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
42.94% ( -0.06) | 24.39% ( -0.01) | 32.67% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.04% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.39% ( 0.07) | 43.61% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34% ( 0.07) | 66% ( -0.07) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( 0) | 20.44% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.1% ( 0.01) | 52.89% ( -0.01) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% ( 0.08) | 25.78% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.27% ( 0.1) | 60.73% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 42.94% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.67% |
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