SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 35.59%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.13%) and 1-2 (6.65%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (13.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Estudiantes |
32.77% ( 0.03) | 31.64% ( 0.04) | 35.59% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 37.99% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.09% ( -0.11) | 69.91% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.82% ( -0.07) | 87.18% ( 0.07) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.63% ( -0.04) | 39.37% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.93% ( -0.04) | 76.07% ( 0.04) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.66% ( -0.11) | 37.34% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.87% ( -0.11) | 74.13% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.99% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.96% ( -0)3-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.49% Total : 32.77% | 0-0 @ 14.7% ( 0.06) 1-1 @ 13.49% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 31.62% | 0-1 @ 14.48% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 35.59% |
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