Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 53.31%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Platense had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.
0.18) 
-0.12) 
