Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
Result | ||
Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
42.33% ( 0.41) | 25.83% ( 0.15) | 31.83% ( -0.56) |
Both teams to score 53.79% ( -0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.69% ( -0.81) | 50.3% ( 0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.75% ( -0.73) | 72.25% ( 0.73) |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.41% ( -0.15) | 23.59% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.34% ( -0.22) | 57.66% ( 0.23) |
Cerezo Osaka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.4% ( -0.78) | 29.6% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.36% ( -0.95) | 65.63% ( 0.95) |
Score Analysis |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.83% |
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