Given Santos' repeated shortcomings in the final third and Goias' well-documented phobia of scoring on the road, a goal-laden contest may not be on any fan's bingo card this weekend.
Turra's side certainly need to start picking up results soon before the crisis sets in - if it has not already - but with a couple more days of rest, Santos and their fresh legs can finally pull themselves out of their rut and avoid another Emerald Green beating courtesy of a slender win, however ugly it may be.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Goias had a probability of 17.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.12) 
