Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 72.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 9.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.97%) and 3-0 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
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