Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.04) 
