Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Everton had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
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