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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
47.33% ( 0.87) | 25.1% ( -0.01) | 27.56% ( -0.87) |
| Both teams to score 53.75% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.75% ( -0.48) | 49.24% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.69% ( -0.44) | 71.3% ( 0.43) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( 0.18) | 20.83% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.49% ( 0.29) | 53.51% ( -0.3) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.89% ( -0.91) | 32.11% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.41% ( -1.04) | 68.58% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 47.33% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.67% Total : 27.57% |
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