SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
44.78% ( -0.04) | 23.75% ( 0.01) | 31.47% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.78% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.89% ( -0.02) | 41.1% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.5% ( -0.02) | 63.49% ( 0.02) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.37% ( -0.03) | 18.63% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.06% ( -0.04) | 49.93% ( 0.04) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.69% ( 0.01) | 25.3% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.92% ( 0.02) | 60.07% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 3.48% Total : 44.78% | 1-1 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 6.29% 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.47% |
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