SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
62.18% ( 0.1) | 21.07% ( 0.28) | 16.75% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 51.93% ( -1.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.57% ( -1.94) | 44.43% ( 1.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.2% ( -1.9) | 66.8% ( 1.9) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.28% ( -0.58) | 13.72% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.03% ( -1.16) | 40.97% ( 1.17) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.19% ( -1.62) | 39.81% ( 1.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.52% ( -1.53) | 76.48% ( 1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.67) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.44)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 3.54% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.89% Total : 62.18% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.07% | 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.98% Total : 16.75% |
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