Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Gijon in this match.
0) 
-0.03) 
