SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
53.06% ( -0.57) | 23.77% ( 0.13) | 23.17% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.72% ( -0.08) | 47.27% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.5% ( -0.08) | 69.5% ( 0.07) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% ( -0.24) | 17.76% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.54% ( -0.42) | 48.46% ( 0.42) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.29% ( 0.36) | 34.7% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.56% ( 0.38) | 71.43% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.58% Total : 53.06% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.09% Total : 23.17% |
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