SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Werder Bremen |
41.83% ( -0.02) | 24.21% ( -0.03) | 33.96% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.12% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.61% ( 0.12) | 42.38% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.21% ( 0.12) | 64.78% ( -0.13) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.56% ( 0.04) | 20.43% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.12% ( 0.07) | 52.87% ( -0.08) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% ( 0.08) | 24.43% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.12% ( 0.11) | 58.87% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 41.83% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.96% |
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