While Northampton have enjoyed the better of this fixture, their current struggles on the road form give Stevenage a slight edge in this one and we predict that Evans's men will come away with a narrow victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Northampton Town
56.13% ( -0.04)	23.55% ( 0.01)	20.33% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 50.53% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.44% (

0.01)

49.56% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.41% (

0.01)

71.59% (

-0)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.52% (

-0.01)

17.48% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.03% (

-0.02)

47.97% (

0.02)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.24% (

0.04)

38.76% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.5% (

0.03)

75.5% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 56.11%

Northampton Town 20.33%

Draw 23.54%

Stevenage	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 56.11%	1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.54%	0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.33%