SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%).
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
50.38% ( -1.29) | 23.47% ( 0.16) | 26.14% ( 1.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.9% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.79% ( 0.26) | 43.21% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.39% ( 0.26) | 65.61% ( -0.26) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.75% ( -0.38) | 17.25% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.44% ( -0.67) | 47.56% ( 0.67) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.97% ( 1.03) | 30.03% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.84% ( 1.22) | 66.15% ( -1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 8% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.92% Total : 50.38% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.11% Total : 26.14% |
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