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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
NL

Stoke
0 - 3
Norwich


Campbell (55')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sargent (24'), Sara (28'), Barnes (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 5-0 Rotherham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Norwich City

Although there is a wide margin between these two sides in the table, Stoke's win last weekend goes some way to levelling the playing field. With that in mind, do not be surprised if a competitive low-scoring draw is played out, one that suits Stoke more than Norwich. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawNorwich City
44.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 25.26% (0.0010000000000012 0) 30.3% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)48.44% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)70.57% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.22% (0.0040000000000049 0)21.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.01% (0.0040000000000049 0)54.99% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)29.7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)65.76% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.44%
    Norwich City 30.3%
    Draw 25.26%
Stoke CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-0 @ 3.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 44.44%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.86%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 30.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Preston 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Stoke
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Coventry
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-0 QPR
Wednesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 5-0 Rotherham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 Norwich
Wednesday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-0 Sunderland
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 4-1 Cardiff
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 4-2 Watford
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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