SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | East Fife |
31.56% ( -0.05) | 25.52% ( -0.02) | 42.91% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.71% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.94% ( 0.07) | 49.06% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.86% ( 0.06) | 71.13% ( -0.06) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.84% | 29.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.91% ( 0) | 65.09% ( -0) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% ( 0.07) | 22.76% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.54% ( 0.09) | 56.46% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | East Fife |
| 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.56% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 42.91% |
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