Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Luton Town
33.3% ( -0.01)	27.95%	38.75% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.69% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.73% (

-0)

58.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.1%

78.9% (

-0)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.36% (

-0.01)

32.64% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.81% (

-0.01)

69.18% (

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.8% (

29.2% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.86% (

65.14% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 33.3%

Luton Town 38.75%

Draw 27.94%

Sunderland	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.3%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.53% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.94%	0-1 @ 11.73% 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.64% Total : 38.75%