SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 41.94%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 28.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Eswatini win it was 1-0 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Libya in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Libya.
| Result | ||
| Eswatini | Draw | Libya |
28.97% ( -0.32) | 29.09% ( -0.22) | 41.94% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 43.17% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.79% ( 0.59) | 63.21% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.38% ( 0.43) | 82.62% ( -0.43) |
| Eswatini Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.49% ( 0.07) | 38.51% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.74% ( 0.07) | 75.26% ( -0.07) |
| Libya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( 0.61) | 29.79% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.13% ( 0.73) | 65.87% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eswatini | Draw | Libya |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.01% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.58% Total : 28.96% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 11.47% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.08% | 0-1 @ 13.89% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.1)1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.42% Total : 41.93% |
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