Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
43.68% ( 0.03) | 24.42% ( -0.01) | 31.91% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 58.62% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.97% ( 0.04) | 44.03% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.59% ( 0.04) | 66.41% ( -0.04) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.71% ( 0.03) | 20.29% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.35% ( 0.04) | 52.65% ( -0.04) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.54% ( 0.01) | 26.46% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.37% ( 0.01) | 61.63% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 43.68% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.2% Total : 31.91% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: