Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%).

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Colchester United
43.29% ( 0.11)	24.12% ( -0.04)	32.59% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 59.96% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.6% (

0.15)

42.4% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.2% (

0.15)

64.8% (

-0.15)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.21% (

0.11)

19.79% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.16% (

0.18)

51.84% (

-0.17)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.75% (

0.04)

25.25% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40% (

0.05)

60% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 43.29%

Colchester United 32.59%

Draw 24.12%

Swindon Town	Draw	Colchester United
2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 43.29%	1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.12%	1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.59%