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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 52.21%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
52.21% ( -0.19) | 22.04% ( 0.13) | 25.74% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 62.57% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.13% ( -0.54) | 36.87% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.95% ( -0.59) | 59.05% ( 0.59) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.68% ( -0.25) | 14.32% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.86% ( -0.49) | 42.14% ( 0.49) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% ( -0.24) | 26.98% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.68% ( -0.31) | 62.32% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.43% Total : 52.22% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 25.74% |
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