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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 60.33%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 20.62% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
60.33% ( -0.11) | 19.04% ( 0.04) | 20.62% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 67.01% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.74% ( -0.13) | 28.26% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.93% ( -0.16) | 49.06% ( 0.16) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.69% ( -0.06) | 9.31% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.58% ( -0.15) | 31.42% ( 0.15) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.89% ( -0.03) | 26.11% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.83% ( -0.04) | 61.17% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.42% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.23% Total : 60.33% | 1-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.5% Total : 19.04% | 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 20.62% |
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