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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 75.34%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 10.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Perth Glory |
75.34% ( -0.09) | 13.98% ( 0.08) | 10.68% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.7% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.85% ( -0.37) | 24.15% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.2% ( -0.49) | 43.8% ( 0.49) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.61% ( -0.09) | 5.39% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.87% ( -0.27) | 21.13% ( 0.27) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.22% ( -0.27) | 34.78% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.48% ( -0.29) | 71.51% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 8% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 6% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)6-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.21% Total : 75.34% | 1-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.33% Total : 13.98% | 1-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 10.68% |
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